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TrendIQ offers several specialized reports, all based on exercising our Internet PageSoft™ software page-reading, data storage, and analysis capabilities.  The presently available reports are outlined below; but first a word about Qualitative Variables. 

 

Qualitative Variables

  

Many TrendIQ reports utilize what we call 'Qualitative Variables' as inputs to models of interest.  Traditionally, models have been developed that incorporate quantitative variables that are available from the government, publications, or other measurement sources.  Softer concepts - such as a strategy element (e.g. focusing on low cost, increased innovation, etc.) - have not been used in modeling because they cannot be readily readily quantified and therefore not subject to mathematical optimization routines.  However, TrendIQ's technologies allow for the definition of Qualitative Variables that capture softer variables and convert them to quantitative measures suitable for modeling.   The statistical routines themselves sort out whether TrendIQ's Qualitative Variables are significant with respect to explaining the areas of interest (the subject being modeled, the Dependent Variable).

 

Typically, a Qualitative Variable will be captured in Index form and embeds the relationship between a company and the subject of interest.  The relationship is measured by software page-reading content on the Internet about each company and the area of interest.  After millions of pages, an index is built-up that incorporates the soft variable of interest.

 

Report: Energy Company PE Model 

    

Overview: This report provides information related to a PE model of 39 major energy companies.  The Forward PE Ratio is modeled using several independent explanatory variables.  The model incorporates a number of TrendIQ's Qualitative Variables to "explain" the PE Ratio.  Qualitative Variables presently incorporated include: an "Opportunity Index", a "Good Sentiment" Index, a "Bad Sentiment" Index, a "Liabilities" Index, a "Generation" Index, a "Transmission" Index, and a "Renewables" Index.  The report includes the model, summary statistics, and plots of the variables which have been gathered on a weekly basis since 2/2/07.  Companies that purchase the Energy Company PE Model Report will receive 11 subsequent monthly updates which include the results of new variable testing and an updated model.  All data are included in the report for additional usage by report purchasers.

 

Companies included: AES Corp., Allegheny Energy Inc., American Electric Power Co., Black Hills Corp., Cleco Corp., Constellation Energy Group Inc, Dominion Resources Inc., DTE Energy Co., Duke Energy Corp., Duquesne Light Holdings Inc., Dynegy Inc., Edison International, El Paso Electric Co., Empire District Electric Co., Entergy Corp., Firstenergy Corp., FPL Group Inc., Great Plains Energy Inc., Hawaiian Electric Industries I, IdaCorp, Inc., ITC Holdings Corp., Northeast Utilities, NRG Energy Inc., NSTAR, OGE Energy Corp., Otter Tail Corp., Pepco Holdings Inc., Pinnacle West Capital Corp., Portland General Electric Co., PPL Corp., Progress Energy Inc., Puget Energy Inc., Reliant Energy Inc., Southern Co., TECO Energy Inc., TXU Corp., UIL Holdings Corp., Unisource Energy Corp., and Xcel Energy Inc.

 

Report Usage: This Report and the Model are helpful in short-term stock price forecasting and to understand the specific relationships between softer variables and an Energy Company's PE Ratio.  Understanding these relationships and where various companies stand on these measures is important input to tactical and strategic decision making.

 

Pricing: $9,000 one time and $1,800 per month for updates.  Email us to purchase.